Americans sour on nation’s direction in new NBC News poll
The nation’s top politicians and political parties are more unpopular than popular, and interest in the upcoming November elections is down – not up.
Overwhelming majorities of Americans believe that the country is headed in the wrong direction, that their household income is falling behind the cost of living, that political polarization will only continue and that there’s a real threat to the nation’s democracy and majority rule.
What’s more, the nation’s top politicians and political parties are more unpopular than popular, and interest in the upcoming November elections is down – not up.
And when Americans were asked to describe where they feel America is today, the top answers were: “downhill,” “divisive,” “negative,” “struggling,” “lost” and “bad.”
Those are the grim findings of a new national NBC News poll conducted less than 10 months before the midterm elections, when control of the U.S. Senate, U.S. House and governor’s mansions across the country will be up for grabs.
“Downhill, divided, doubting democracy, falling behind, and tuning out – this is how Americans are feeling heading into 2022,” said Democratic pollster Jeff Horwitt of Hart Research Associates, who conducted this survey with Republican pollster Bill McInturff of Public Opinion Strategies.
That pessimism and gloom isn’t helping the party in control of the White House and Congress.
While the poll shows Democrats enjoying a narrow 1-point advantage over Republicans in congressional preference, it also shows President Joe Biden’s job rating remaining in the low 40s, Republicans holding a double-digit edge in enthusiasm, and key Democratic groups losing interest in the upcoming election.
“There is nothing but flashing red flights and warning signs for Democrats,” said McInturff, the Republican pollster.
“Bad news for the party in power”
According to the poll, 72 percent of Americans say the country is headed in the wrong direction – essentially unchanged from the 71 percent who held this view in October’s NBC News poll.
It marks just the sixth time in the poll’s history when 70 percent of more have said the nation is on the wrong track in back-to-back surveys.
“In the three instances when this sustained dark outlook coincided with an election year, it foreshadowed bad news for the party in power – 1992, 2008, and 2016,” said Horwitt, the Democratic pollster.
On the economy, while job creation is up and the unemployment rate is down, 61 percent of respondents in the poll say their family’s income is falling behind the cost of living.
That’s compared with 30 percent who say they’re staying about even and just 7 percent who say their income is going up faster than the cost of living.
On the state of the nation’s politics, 70 percent agree with the statement that America has become so polarized that it can no longer solve the major issues facing the country – and that those differences will only continue to grow.
By contrast, 27 percent agree with the statement that, despite the nation’s strong partisan differences, the country always comes together to solve the greatest challenges.
That’s a significant shift from when this question was last asked in 2010 – when 50 percent answered that America always comes together in tough times, versus 45 percent who said that the nation’s political differences will only grow.
And on the state of democracy, a whopping 76 percent of Americans – including 7-in-10 Democrats, Republicans and independents – believe there is a threat to democracy and majority rule in this country.
A lookahead to the midterms
With fewer than 300 days until the November midterm elections, the NBC News poll finds 47 percent of registered voters saying they prefer a Democratic-controlled Congress, while 46 percent want Republicans in charge.
That’s essentially unchanged from October, when Democrats held a 2-point edge on this question, 47 percent to 45 percent.
But Republicans enjoy a double-digit advance on enthusiasm ahead of November’s elections, with 61 percent of Republicans saying they are very interested in the upcoming midterms – registering their interest either as a “9″ or “10″ on a 10-point scale – compared with 47 percent of Democrats who say the same.
In previous midterm cycles – whether 2006, 2010, 2014 or 2018 – the party that held a double-digit advantage in enthusiasm (or close to it) ended up making substantial gains.
Additionally, overall enthusiasm for the upcoming midterms is down from 59 percent who indicated a high level of interest in October, to 51 percent in this most recent poll.
And some of the biggest drops have come from key segments of the Democratic base, including Black voters, young voters and urban voters.
The top issues facing the country
Asked their two most important issues facing the country, the top responses from Americans were jobs and the economy (a combined 42 percent who picked this as their No. 1 or No. 2 issue), the coronavirus (29 percent), voting rights and election integrity (25 percent), the cost of living (23 percent) and border security and immigration (22 percent).
Among Democrats, the top issues were the coronavirus, voting rights and election integrity, social and racial justice, jobs/economy and climate change.
Among Republicans, the top issues were jobs/economy, border security/immigration, taxes and spending and the cost of living.
Unpopular politicians and parties
Finally, the NBC News poll finds every politician and political party it tested to be more unpopular than popular with the American public:
- Rep. Liz Cheney, R-Wyo.: 23 percent positive, 29 percent negative (-6)
- President Joe Biden: 39 percent positive, 48 percent negative (-9)
- The Republican Party: 34 percent positive, 44 percent negative (-10)
- Donald Trump: 37 percent positive, 51 percent negative (-14)
- The Democratic Party: 33 percent positive, 48 percent negative (-15)
- Vice President Kamala Harris: 32 percent positive, 49 percent negative (-17)
The NBC News poll was conducted Jan. 14-18 of 1,000 adults – including 650 respondents who only have a cell phone – and the overall margin of error is plus-minus 3.1 percentage points.
The margin of error for the poll’s 790 registered voters is plus-minus 3.5 percentage points.
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