Survey breaks down WI preliminary election results

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MADISON, Wis (WMTV/AP) Democrat Tony Evers unseated two-term Republican Gov. Scott Walker with a big boost from younger voters.

Vote Pin, Photo Date: January 19, 2016 / Photo: U.S. Army / (MGN)

AP VoteCast, conducted a survey that included 4,709 voters and 579 nonvoters in Wisconsin.

Those under age 45 make only one-third of the electorate, but they gave Evers 60 percent of their votes compared to 37 percent for Walker, who carried older voters by 54 percent to 45 percent.

Evers also won handily among college graduates, while those without a college degree preferred Walker.

Women preferred Evers by 53 percent to 45 percent, while Walker won among men, 52 percent to 46 percent. Although Walker appeared to have a slight edge among white voters, it wasn’t enough to overcome Evers’ 9-to-1 support among blacks.

Barry Burden, a political science professor at UW-Madison, said Wisconsin midterm election voter turnout tends to be higher than the national average.

“We think when the final data comes in it will be over 60 percent of eligible voters. That is higher than probably any other state, and would be higher than a lot of states had in their presidential election,” he said.
Burden said Wisconsin is a state neither party can ignore.

“Wisconsin has a really strong tradition of high voter turnout. Wisconsin tends to be number one and number two in both presidential and midterm years,” he said.

AP VoteCast is conducted for The Associated Press by NORC at the University of Chicago.