MADISON, Wis. (WMTV) - The potential of heavy snowfall and widespread travel impacts Tuesday through Wednesday has been greatly reduced.
Tuesday's Weather Impact Scale: Low (Yellow, 1 out of 4). Light snow likely, especially from Madison to the WI-IL border. Any substantial accumulations over an inch will likely be confined to the southeastern corner of the state. Wind gusts on Tuesday could be up to 30 mph.
A strong storm systems is developing south of the area this afternoon. This why clouds have been on the increase throughout the day. On Sunday, the forecast models were bringing this storm system further north and west. This storm track would have brought the heaviest snow right through southern Wisconsin. The forecast models started to trend towards a more southerly and easterly track today. This is why the heaviest snow potential has shifted south.
Even though this storm system will likely not bring in heavy snow, it is still going to impact the area. There is a slight chance of a rain/snow mix of light snow for the WI-IL border up to Madison tonight. Low temperatures tonight will range from the mid 20s north of Madison to near or just above 30 degrees from Madison to the WI-IL.
Most of the forecast models still bring in a decent chance of light snow to parts of the area Tuesday through Tuesday night. Places along the WI-IL border will likely have the best chance of snow during this time. This is where snowfall accumulations between 1-3" are still possible. Right now, it looks like Madison won't even see an inch of snow. Places north of Madison could see a dusting of snow at the very most. There are still some uncertainty how far north the snow will develop Tuesday through Tuesday night, though.
Tuesday will be seasonably cold and breezy day. Highs will be in the low to mid 30s. Expect a northeast wind at 10-20 mph. Wind gusts could be up to 30 mph. Wind chills throughout the day on Tuesday will be near 20 degrees. Make sure to bundle up Tuesday morning and stay bundled up throughout the day.
Any snow that is left over from Tuesday night will wrap up Wednesday morning. Most of Wednesday will be cloudy and breezy. Highs will be in the mid to upper 20s. Expect a north wind at 10-15 mph. Wind gusts could be up to 25 mph.
The rest of the week looks cold, even by the end of February standards. Highs Thursday through Friday will only be in the 20s. Single-digit temperature readings will likely Thursday and Friday nights. Despite the cold weather to end the work week, it looks like there should be a fair amount of sunshine.
Temperatures look like they will start to rebound by the end of the upcoming weekend. From this distance, the weekend looks dry.